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TOOWOOMBA

R1 5:20 PM R2 5:54 PM R3 6:31 PM R4 7:09 PM R5 7:49 PM R6 8:25 PM R7 8:56 PM R8 9:28 PM

Race 8

9:28 PM
1100m · 8 runners
📍 Our record & guide for The Toowoomba Turf Club ›
🏁 Result
1st CAITLIN ⭐ Best Bet
2nd CHOCECLAIR
3rd TUESDAY
4th LETTIE'S LOT
✅ Best Bet won — CAITLIN finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
CAITLIN W $1.90
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
6
TE ELCEE P $1.26
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. CAITLIN FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.90 $1.12 $2.71
6. TE ELCEE 3 $3.50 $1.26 $4.85
10. TUESDAY 10 $6.50 $1.50 $6.77
12. CHOCECLAIR 6 $14.00 $2.45 $10.44
9. LETTIE'S LOT 5 $12.00 $2.25 $11.16
13. EXCESS CAPITAL 2 $23.00 $3.40 $18.89
15. DESERT DAWN 13 $71.00 $5.50 $39.49
14. EARTHAXEAZE 9 $151.00 $8.50 $76.17
Favourite record at TOOWOOMBA ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.90) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 45% 82% 22*
2.00–2.49 31% 66% 32*
2.50–3.49 30% 64% 53*
3.50–4.99 23% 50% 26*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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