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R1 10:50 AM R2 11:20 AM R3 11:55 AM R4 12:30 PM R5 1:10 PM R6 1:50 PM R7 2:30 PM R8 3:10 PM R9 3:45 PM R10 4:30 PM

Race 4

12:30 PM
2020m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st DAYTONA DIVA
2nd AURORA RISE 📍 Place Pick
3rd MISSY AGGRAVATION
4th FIERCE 'N FABULOUS
✅ Place bet landed — AURORA RISE ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
7
AURORA RISE W $2.45·P $1.26
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
7. AURORA RISE FAV TOP RATED 4 $2.45 $1.26 $3.72
4. DAYTONA DIVA 5 $4.60 $1.40 $5.09
6. FIERCE 'N FABULOUS 3 $6.00 $1.70 $6.34
3. LITTLE EL 2 $7.00 $1.90 $8.03
8. MISSY AGGRAVATION 1 $11.00 $2.45 $11.26
5. JENNI THE CAT 8 $15.00 $3.00 $12.32
9. STELLETTA 6 $34.00 $4.80 $23.69
2. BRIGHT NIGHT 9 $31.00 $4.40 $24.91
Favourite record at HOBART ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.45) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 this race 48% 76% 21*
2.50–3.49 36% 69% 45*
3.50–4.99 0% 48% 21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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