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CAULFIELD HEATH

R1 2:00 PM R2 2:30 PM R3 3:00 PM R4 3:30 PM R5 4:00 PM R6 4:30 PM R7 5:00 PM

Race 4

3:30 PM
1000m ยท 8 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st GENTLE STEEL ๐Ÿ’ก Saver
2nd CELERITY โญ Best Bet
3rd TIZ WORTHY
4th BEFUDDLE
ใ€ฐ๏ธ Best Bet placed โ€” CELERITY ran a place (win bet missed)
โœ… Saver won โ€” GENTLE STEEL finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
CELERITY W $1.80
win โญ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite โ€” market and model in agreement.
9
GENTLE STEEL P $1.38
Saver ยท place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. CELERITY FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.80 $1.12 $2.79
8. TUSCALOOSA GEM 4 $5.50 $1.40 $5.79
9. GENTLE STEEL 8 $5.00 $1.38 $5.94
6. BEFUDDLE 11 $16.00 $2.80 $13.29
11. TIZ WORTHY 2 $16.00 $2.90 $15.03
4. MRS IGLESIA 7 $23.00 $3.40 $16.05
3. HARMONETT 5 $31.00 $4.00 $18.70
2. CROATIAN ART 9 $41.00 $4.60 $23.27
Favourite record at CAULFIELD HEATH โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50โ€“3.49 28% 72% 25*
3.50โ€“4.99 17% 48% 23*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.