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CAULFIELD HEATH

R1 2:00 PM R2 2:30 PM R3 3:00 PM R4 3:30 PM R5 4:00 PM R6 4:30 PM R7 5:00 PM

Race 4

3:30 PM
1000m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st GENTLE STEEL 💡 Saver
2nd CELERITY ⭐ Best Bet
3rd TIZ WORTHY
4th BEFUDDLE
〰️ Best Bet placed — CELERITY ran a place (win bet missed)
Saver won — GENTLE STEEL finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
CELERITY W $1.80
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
9
GENTLE STEEL P $1.38
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. CELERITY FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.80 $1.12 $2.79
8. TUSCALOOSA GEM 4 $5.50 $1.40 $5.79
9. GENTLE STEEL 8 $5.00 $1.38 $5.94
6. BEFUDDLE 11 $16.00 $2.80 $13.29
11. TIZ WORTHY 2 $16.00 $2.90 $15.03
4. MRS IGLESIA 7 $23.00 $3.40 $16.05
3. HARMONETT 5 $31.00 $4.00 $18.70
2. CROATIAN ART 9 $41.00 $4.60 $23.27
Favourite record at CAULFIELD HEATH

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 26% 70% 23*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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