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IPSWICH

R1 1:45 PM R2 2:20 PM R3 2:55 PM R4 3:30 PM R5 4:05 PM R6 4:40 PM R7 5:20 PM

Race 1

1:45 PM
1100m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st LE CHOCOLAT (NZ) 📍 Place Pick
2nd ROARING SUCCESS
3rd ON THE TARGET
4th THE BOSS MAN
✅ Place bet — won outright — LE CHOCOLAT (NZ) finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
1
LE CHOCOLAT (NZ) P $1.26
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
4
I'M NELSON W $5.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. LE CHOCOLAT (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.70 $1.26 $3.87
2. JUNGLE WARRIOR 3 $3.50 $1.30 $5.09
4. I'M NELSON 2 $5.50 $1.60 $6.42
6. EXCELBOOM 8 $5.50 $1.65 $6.82
7. THE BOSS MAN 9 $15.00 $3.20 $12.21
9. ROARING SUCCESS 5 $18.00 $3.50 $15.16
8. VEGA NOVA 4 $26.00 $4.40 $19.84
10. ON THE TARGET 6 $41.00 $5.25 $22.51
Favourite record at IPSWICH ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.70) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 63% 93% 27*
2.00–2.49 38% 85% 34*
2.50–3.49 this race 22% 62% 73
3.50–4.99 29% 53% 45*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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