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IPSWICH

R1 1:45 PM R2 2:20 PM R3 2:55 PM R4 3:30 PM R5 4:05 PM R6 4:40 PM R7 5:20 PM

Race 5

4:05 PM

1350m · 11 runners

🏁 Result

1st CHEVALLUM

2nd CERETTI 💡 Saver

3rd ASTERN EFFORT ⭐ Best Bet

4th FIVE OF US

〰️ Best Bet placed — ASTERN EFFORT ran a place (win bet missed)

✅ Saver placed — CERETTI ran a place

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

ASTERN EFFORT W $1.95

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

CERETTI P $1.60

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
8. ASTERN EFFORT FAV TOP RATED	8	$1.95	$1.18	$3.03
13. CERETTI	1	$5.00	$1.60	$6.25
4. CHEVALLUM	2	$6.00	$1.75	$7.09
1. RIGHTEOUS LEGEND	9	$7.00	$2.00	$7.95
12. SATURDAYS GIRL	3	$12.00	$2.60	$12.69
7. LAUNCHER	10	$26.00	$4.20	$18.74
6. KING COUNTRY	4	$31.00	$4.60	$22.11
14. STEADY ON	13	$101.00	$8.50	$50.94
9. KOOLIBAH	5	$81.00	$7.00	$53.46
15. FIVE OF US	7	$126.00	$11.00	$65.00
10. CRYPTO MAGIC	6	$201.00	$15.00	$79.42

Favourite record at IPSWICH ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.95) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
1.50–1.99 this race	63%	93%	27*
2.00–2.49	38%	85%	34*
2.50–3.49	22%	62%	73
3.50–4.99	29%	53%	45*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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