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PAKENHAM

R1 4:45 PM R2 5:15 PM R3 5:45 PM R4 6:15 PM R5 6:45 PM R6 7:15 PM R7 7:45 PM R8 8:15 PM

Race 8

8:15 PM
1200m · 8 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Southside Racing Pakenham ›
🏁 Result
1st SOUTHERN CRESCENT
2nd ROHESIA
3rd EL TERCERO (NZ)
4th ALERO 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — ALERO didn't feature
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
2
ALERO W $2.25·P $1.22
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. ALERO FAV TOP RATED 4 $2.25 $1.22 $3.43
7. ROHESIA 9 $4.00 $1.34 $5.41
5. PICK 'N' MIX (NZ) 11 $7.00 $1.90 $7.33
4. EL TERCERO (NZ) 6 $9.50 $2.25 $9.95
8. BRUTALINA 3 $12.00 $2.50 $11.28
6. UNTAPPED 1 $13.00 $2.70 $11.79
10. SOUTHERN CRESCENT 2 $18.00 $3.40 $12.96
9. GIN SPIRIT 8 $41.00 $5.00 $27.68
Favourite record at PAKENHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.25) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 61% 78% 41*
2.00–2.49 this race 36% 72% 39*
2.50–3.49 39% 77% 75
3.50–4.99 11% 50% 36*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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