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MACKAY

R1 12:56 PM R2 1:31 PM R3 2:06 PM R4 2:43 PM R5 3:23 PM R6 4:03 PM R7 4:43 PM R8 5:19 PM

Race 8

5:19 PM
1560m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st BE BOB ALOOLA
2nd BITTER SPIRIT ⭐ Best Bet
3rd MASALI RAFFA
4th MISTERKIPCHOGE (NZ) 💡 Saver
〰️ Best Bet placed — BITTER SPIRIT ran a place (win bet missed)
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
8
BITTER SPIRIT W $1.80
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
4
MISTERKIPCHOGE (NZ) P $1.30
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
9
GRUMPYWANTSATISSUE W $15.00
Form view · saver 9.6% above market on form
Form model rates this runner above its market price. Track+distance: 66.7% (3 starts) · Recent form: 1745
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
8. BITTER SPIRIT FAV TOP RATED 7 $1.80 $1.12 $2.77
4. MISTERKIPCHOGE (NZ) 6 $4.00 $1.30 $5.36
7. BE BOB ALOOLA 4 $8.00 $1.95 $7.97
10. KHAMIS 10 $9.50 $2.20 $9.61
9. GRUMPYWANTSATISSUE 1 $15.00 $2.90 $12.61
3. MASALI RAFFA 9 $31.00 $4.20 $22.46
1. CHAPARRAL CHASE 5 $34.00 $4.40 $24.66
5. TORQUE ESPAGNA 2 $41.00 $4.80 $27.18
2. CITIROC 3 $81.00 $6.00 $47.16
Favourite record at MACKAY

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 37% 74% 27*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.