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CANTERBURY

R1 5:00 PM R2 5:30 PM R3 6:00 PM R4 6:30 PM R5 7:00 PM R6 7:30 PM R7 8:00 PM R8 8:30 PM

Race 4

6:30 PM
1900m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st CENTENARIO (NZ) 📍 Place Pick
2nd KENMARE BAY
3rd ALLEGRO MISS 💡 Saver
4th MIRRA IMPACT
✅ Place bet — won outright — CENTENARIO (NZ) finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — ALLEGRO MISS ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
8
CENTENARIO (NZ) P $1.32
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
10
ALLEGRO MISS W $5.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
8. CENTENARIO (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 2 $2.90 $1.32 $4.65
10. ALLEGRO MISS 6 $5.50 $1.90 $6.36
9. KENMARE BAY 1 $5.50 $1.90 $6.78
5. PLEASURE ARTIST 5 $7.50 $2.25 $9.75
6. SUIT OF ARMOUR (IRE) 7 $9.50 $2.50 $10.34
7. MIRRA IMPACT 10 $11.00 $2.90 $11.26
2. CAPTAIN FENKEL 3 $14.00 $3.40 $12.37
4. VALIMI (FR) 8 $26.00 $4.80 $21.03
3. ROMA AVENUE 4 $41.00 $5.75 $26.24
1. EL JASOR (IRE) 9 $71.00 $7.50 $39.41
Favourite record at CANTERBURY ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.90) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 36% 77% 22*
2.50–3.49 this race 27% 62% 37*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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