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EAGLE FARM

R1 11:28 AM R2 12:03 PM R3 12:38 PM R4 1:13 PM R5 1:48 PM R6 2:23 PM R7 3:02 PM R8 3:42 PM R9 4:22 PM R10 5:07 PM

Race 8

3:42 PM
1600m · 10 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Lauren Abbott Racing ›
🏁 Result
1st NOBLE CONQUEROR
2nd NAILS MURPHY (IRE) 📍 Place Pick
3rd GALIFIANAKIS (IRE)
4th JUST FLYING
✅ Place bet landed — NAILS MURPHY (IRE) ran a place
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
6
NAILS MURPHY (IRE) P $1.65
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
14
KATDEEL W $6.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. NAILS MURPHY (IRE) FAV TOP RATED 11 $4.20 $1.65 $5.52
8. JUST FLYING 12 $4.20 $1.65 $5.72
14. KATDEEL 7 $6.50 $2.25 $7.35
5. DEMON DARB 2 $7.50 $2.35 $9.21
7. NAVAL SEAL 6 $11.00 $3.00 $10.56
2. COSMIC VEGA (IRE) 9 $9.50 $2.70 $13.16
11. THAT'S MOLLY 5 $15.00 $3.80 $14.17
9. NOBLE CONQUEROR 14 $18.00 $4.20 $14.65
4. GALIFIANAKIS (IRE) 1 $23.00 $4.80 $17.64
3. ZOOLOGY (GB) 13 $41.00 $6.00 $30.29
Favourite record at EAGLE FARM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($4.20) sits in the 3.50–4.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 55% 85% 20*
2.00–2.49 41% 72% 39*
2.50–3.49 22% 62% 74
3.50–4.99 this race 19% 54% 48*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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