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TOOWOOMBA

R1 4:14 PM R2 4:54 PM R3 5:25 PM R4 5:56 PM R5 6:34 PM R6 7:13 PM R7 7:49 PM

Race 4

5:56 PM
1050m · 10 runners
📍 Our record & guide for The Toowoomba Turf Club ›
🏁 Result
1st LADIES OCEAN RUN
2nd HEAD OF THE RIVER
3rd TURF GAZETTE
4th THE GRAND DUCHY 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — THE GRAND DUCHY didn't feature
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
5
THE GRAND DUCHY P $1.28
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
2
CRYPTION'S DESIRE W $6.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. THE GRAND DUCHY FAV TOP RATED 6 $2.65 $1.28 $3.75
15. LADIES OCEAN RUN 11 $4.20 $1.38 $5.25
2. CRYPTION'S DESIRE 13 $6.00 $1.80 $6.69
12. OUTATICK 1 $5.50 $1.65 $6.69
4. SPOILT ROTTEN 12 $9.50 $2.30 $10.57
8. HEAD OF THE RIVER 4 $13.00 $2.90 $11.87
6. TURF GAZETTE 3 $51.00 $5.50 $29.97
9. HIT THE KEY 9 $201.00 $16.00 $73.46
14. MISHANI SOUL 8 $251.00 $19.00 $102.44
11. MISHANI PLAYER 7 $201.00 $16.00 $116.73
Favourite record at TOOWOOMBA ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.65) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 48% 81% 21*
2.00–2.49 32% 68% 31*
2.50–3.49 this race 31% 63% 52*
3.50–4.99 24% 52% 25*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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