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DARWIN

R1 2:28 PM R2 3:07 PM R3 3:47 PM R4 4:20 PM R5 4:56 PM R6 5:32 PM

Race 2

3:07 PM
1300m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st FORMS OF FEAR ⭐ Best Bet
2nd ATLANTIC OCEAN
3rd CROWN WATERS 💡 Saver
4th CAPITOL HILL
✅ Best Bet won — FORMS OF FEAR finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — CROWN WATERS ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
FORMS OF FEAR W $1.90
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
2
CROWN WATERS P $1.38
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. FORMS OF FEAR FAV TOP RATED 5 $1.90 $1.14 $3.13
2. CROWN WATERS 2 $4.80 $1.38 $5.48
6. MAXXI BON 7 $8.50 $2.10 $8.68
3. ATLANTIC OCEAN 6 $7.50 $1.95 $9.01
5. GALAXY GENERAL 8 $11.00 $2.35 $10.94
7. PRINCE RUBAN 4 $16.00 $3.10 $12.01
4. CAPITOL HILL 1 $17.00 $3.20 $13.59
8. NEW ENTERPRISE 3 $91.00 $6.50 $43.45
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 41% 90% 29*
2.50–3.49 40% 73% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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