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DARWIN

R1 2:28 PM R2 3:07 PM R3 3:47 PM R4 4:20 PM R5 4:56 PM R6 5:32 PM

Race 3

3:47 PM
1200m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st JULY
2nd RISING FIRE
3rd FIELD OF PRAISE
4th ANKLE ROLEX 💡 Saver
❌ Unplaced — I LOVERAIN didn't feature
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
1
I LOVERAIN P $1.30
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
5
ANKLE ROLEX W $5.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. I LOVERAIN FAV TOP RATED 3 $2.70 $1.30 $4.35
6. FIELD OF PRAISE 2 $3.80 $1.45 $5.22
5. ANKLE ROLEX 6 $5.00 $1.80 $6.24
2. DEBATING 7 $9.50 $2.50 $9.72
9. REBELLIOUS HOPE 1 $12.00 $3.10 $12.62
4. RISING FIRE 8 $11.00 $2.90 $12.69
3. JULY 4 $16.00 $3.50 $15.54
7. MARVELOUS NIGHT 5 $20.00 $4.20 $18.13
8. PREDICTING 9 $31.00 $5.25 $26.28
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.70) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 41% 90% 29*
2.50–3.49 this race 40% 73% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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