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DARWIN

R1 2:28 PM R2 3:07 PM R3 3:47 PM R4 4:20 PM R5 4:56 PM R6 5:32 PM

Race 4

4:20 PM
1100m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st LOCHLORIAN 📍 Place Pick
2nd HOTIM ENGLISH
3rd MIAMI VICE
4th ANECDOTAL
✅ Place bet — won outright — LOCHLORIAN finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
5
LOCHLORIAN P $1.30
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
7
VILLA ROYALE W $5.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. LOCHLORIAN FAV TOP RATED 2 $2.75 $1.30 $4.28
7. VILLA ROYALE 1 $5.00 $1.70 $5.99
8. POLARISING 7 $5.50 $1.85 $6.69
3. MIAMI VICE 5 $6.00 $1.90 $7.04
4. HOTIM ENGLISH 8 $11.00 $2.70 $11.04
1. DIVINE BENE 6 $10.00 $2.50 $11.85
9. ANECDOTAL 3 $20.00 $4.00 $16.74
6. BRAT 4 $31.00 $5.00 $22.88
2. HELL AND BACK 9 $61.00 $6.50 $34.05
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.75) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 41% 90% 29*
2.50–3.49 this race 40% 73% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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