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BALLARAT

R1 12:26 PM R2 1:01 PM R3 1:36 PM R4 2:11 PM R5 2:46 PM R6 3:26 PM R7 4:06 PM

Race 1

12:26 PM
1200m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st TOLAGA BAY
2nd REGAL AMBITION 📍 Place Pick
3rd EXPENSIVE TASTE
4th WHIMSY SMILE
✅ Place bet landed — REGAL AMBITION ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
6
REGAL AMBITION W $2.30·P $1.20
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. REGAL AMBITION FAV TOP RATED 6 $2.30 $1.20 $2.89
7. TOLAGA BAY 3 $4.40 $1.34 $5.20
5. ORCHID SKY 7 $5.50 $1.45 $6.28
2. WHIMSY SMILE 5 $7.00 $1.80 $8.51
3. EXPENSIVE TASTE 2 $8.00 $1.95 $8.81
1. THE CELLIST 4 $26.00 $3.80 $23.70
8. VICTRIX SWAN 1 $126.00 $8.50 $54.69
4. MODEST INTENTIONS 8 $201.00 $12.00 $96.93
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 37% 63% 46*
3.50–4.99 31% 72% 29*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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