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BALLARAT

R1 12:26 PM R2 1:01 PM R3 1:36 PM R4 2:11 PM R5 2:46 PM R6 3:26 PM R7 4:06 PM

Race 2

1:01 PM
1200m · 13 runners
🏁 Result
1st BEL MEZYAAN ⭐ Best Bet
2nd INCONTESTABLE 💡 Saver
3rd DAME I AM
4th SWIFT STATEMENT
✅ Best Bet won — BEL MEZYAAN finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — INCONTESTABLE ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
BEL MEZYAAN W $1.70
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
7
INCONTESTABLE P $1.80
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. BEL MEZYAAN FAV TOP RATED 13 $1.70 $1.14 $2.83
7. INCONTESTABLE 10 $6.00 $1.80 $6.67
4. BURLEIGH 2 $8.50 $2.25 $8.89
14. XUXA KISS 9 $15.00 $3.30 $13.45
12. WILD RUBY (NZ) 7 $20.00 $3.70 $13.89
8. LIVE FOREVER 8 $12.00 $2.70 $15.28
5. CORRO 1 $23.00 $4.00 $19.02
9. SWIFT STATEMENT 12 $34.00 $5.00 $29.99
6. HARD HITTER 11 $81.00 $7.50 $43.64
11. WAVELETS 5 $61.00 $6.50 $48.24
10. DAME I AM 14 $101.00 $8.50 $51.30
16. NIGHTYNIGHT 6 $201.00 $16.00 $70.14
15. NIP 4 $201.00 $16.00 $114.15
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 38% 64% 47*
3.50–4.99 31% 72% 29*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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