โ€น All races

NEWCASTLE

R1 12:15 PM R2 12:50 PM R3 1:25 PM R4 2:00 PM R5 2:35 PM R6 3:15 PM R7 3:55 PM R8 4:35 PM

Race 3

1:25 PM
1600m ยท 9 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st VELARIS (NZ)
2nd GARRIX
3rd ADAPTATION (NZ) ๐Ÿ“ Place Pick
4th ALMONZO (NZ)
โœ… Place bet landed โ€” ADAPTATION (NZ) ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree โ€” a genuine top pick. Win or place.
4
ADAPTATION (NZ) W $2.30ยทP $1.26
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner โ€” a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. ADAPTATION (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 2 $2.30 $1.26 $3.68
6. SUN TO ME 4 $5.00 $1.60 $5.97
8. ALMONZO (NZ) 1 $5.00 $1.60 $6.54
3. VELARIS (NZ) 9 $7.50 $2.10 $8.50
2. THE CONFIDANTE 3 $11.00 $2.45 $10.57
5. GARRIX 8 $15.00 $3.20 $14.05
11. MERITAGE 7 $20.00 $3.70 $14.48
7. TYPHOON BASSETT 10 $41.00 $5.50 $27.20
10. EDORADO (NZ) 5 $126.00 $10.00 $53.48
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.30) sits in the 2.00โ€“2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50โ€“1.99 56% 84% 25*
2.00โ€“2.49 this race 39% 84% 38*
2.50โ€“3.49 39% 64% 44*
3.50โ€“4.99 30% 57% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.