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HOBART

R1 12:05 PM R2 12:40 PM R3 1:15 PM R4 1:50 PM R5 2:25 PM R6 3:05 PM R7 3:45 PM R8 4:25 PM

Race 1

12:05 PM
1000m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st OUTBUSH
2nd GEEGEES MERCEDES
3rd LAWRENNY BOYS 📍 Place Pick
4th UPHEAVAL
✅ Place bet landed — LAWRENNY BOYS ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
3
LAWRENNY BOYS P $1.32
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
11
THERMAL MISS W $14.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. LAWRENNY BOYS FAV TOP RATED 8 $2.90 $1.32 $4.44
8. GEEGEES MERCEDES 7 $3.70 $1.40 $4.78
4. UPHEAVAL 9 $6.00 $2.00 $7.29
1. OUTBUSH 1 $7.50 $2.25 $9.26
11. THERMAL MISS 4 $14.00 $3.40 $12.83
9. LIN THIZZY 5 $11.00 $2.80 $13.25
6. SMASH 'N' GRAB 6 $26.00 $4.80 $19.28
7. UNA PALOMA BLANCA 11 $31.00 $5.25 $24.72
5. ARLAUNYA 2 $51.00 $6.00 $25.48
10. STEEL SHOSHA 3 $41.00 $5.75 $28.25
Favourite record at HOBART ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.90) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 48% 76% 21*
2.50–3.49 this race 36% 69% 45*
3.50–4.99 0% 48% 21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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