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HOBART

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Race 7

3:45 PM
1600m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st COAL RIVER 📍 Place Pick
2nd STRATOJACK
3rd FIORENTE DE LEGEND
4th THICKSKINNED
✅ Place bet — won outright — COAL RIVER finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
1
COAL RIVER W $2.20·P $1.32
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. COAL RIVER FAV TOP RATED 7 $2.20 $1.32 $3.29
3. FIORENTE DE LEGEND 5 $4.20 $2.05 $5.20
8. THICKSKINNED 6 $6.00 $2.45 $6.88
5. ROYAL DISPATCH (NZ) 1 $7.50 $3.10 $7.80
4. GODDESS OF ROCK 4 $8.50 $3.30 $8.38
7. STRATOJACK 8 $19.00 $5.50 $15.04
6. MANHATTAN NIGHTS 2 $34.00 $7.00 $22.50
Favourite record at HOBART ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.20) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 this race 48% 76% 21*
2.50–3.49 36% 69% 45*
3.50–4.99 0% 48% 21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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