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R1 11:47 AM R2 12:22 PM R3 12:57 PM R4 1:32 PM R5 2:07 PM R6 2:42 PM R7 3:17 PM R8 3:57 PM

Race 4

1:32 PM
1250m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st SATISFIED MUGS ⭐ Best Bet
2nd ASPEN COWBOY 💡 Saver
3rd DESARAE DOLL
4th MISTER TIA
✅ Best Bet won — SATISFIED MUGS finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — ASPEN COWBOY ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
SATISFIED MUGS W $1.12
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
2
ASPEN COWBOY P $1.85
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. SATISFIED MUGS FAV TOP RATED 7 $1.12 $1.02 $1.61
2. ASPEN COWBOY 2 $8.00 $1.85 $7.17
6. DESARAE DOLL 6 $14.00 $2.70 $10.86
5. GEM OF SCOTS 4 $26.00 $3.90 $16.96
3. MISTER TIA 1 $20.00 $3.40 $17.59
7. ADAJ 3 $71.00 $6.00 $30.15
Favourite record at CAIRNS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 16% 55% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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