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EAGLE FARM

R1 1:38 PM R2 2:13 PM R3 2:48 PM R4 3:23 PM R5 3:58 PM R6 4:33 PM R7 5:07 PM R8 5:38 PM

Race 5

3:58 PM
1000m · 8 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Lauren Abbott Racing ›
🏁 Result
1st PROVANCE
2nd CINDERSEA 📍 Place Pick
3rd ALLOUTATIME
4th CONCESSION
✅ Place bet landed — CINDERSEA ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
9
CINDERSEA P $1.24
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
3
AIR WE GO W $7.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
9. CINDERSEA FAV TOP RATED 7 $2.60 $1.24 $3.62
6. PROVANCE 4 $3.30 $1.28 $4.40
3. AIR WE GO 6 $7.00 $1.80 $7.51
1. ALLOUTATIME 5 $8.50 $2.00 $7.94
5. DONT CALL ME HONEY 8 $7.50 $1.90 $8.65
4. CONCESSION 10 $12.00 $2.40 $11.67
8. SUTHERLAND 2 $101.00 $6.50 $39.53
10. ANAISA 3 $251.00 $16.00 $96.96
Favourite record at EAGLE FARM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.60) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 55% 85% 20*
2.00–2.49 41% 72% 39*
2.50–3.49 this race 22% 62% 74
3.50–4.99 19% 54% 48*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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