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EAGLE FARM

R1 1:38 PM R2 2:13 PM R3 2:48 PM R4 3:23 PM R5 3:58 PM R6 4:33 PM R7 5:07 PM R8 5:38 PM

Race 7

5:07 PM
1400m · 10 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Lauren Abbott Racing ›
🏁 Result
1st HELL TO PAY 📍 Place Pick
2nd INFLUENTIAL
3rd TOMBA 💡 Saver
4th READY FOR THE TRIP
✅ Place bet — won outright — HELL TO PAY finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — TOMBA ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
2
HELL TO PAY P $1.34
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
13
TOMBA W $6.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. HELL TO PAY FAV TOP RATED 11 $2.90 $1.34 $4.80
13. TOMBA 4 $6.50 $2.15 $7.69
3. READY FOR THE TRIP 3 $7.00 $2.25 $7.99
1. INFLUENTIAL 1 $6.50 $2.10 $8.51
10. AMAHNI'S GIRL 6 $8.50 $2.45 $8.80
5. ZAHER (NZ) 5 $9.50 $2.60 $10.40
7. DELRICO 10 $16.00 $3.70 $15.39
8. NORTH OF ELI 9 $19.00 $4.00 $16.13
6. BOONDOCKS 7 $26.00 $4.80 $20.70
11. INTOXEL 12 $51.00 $6.50 $29.57
Favourite record at EAGLE FARM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.90) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 55% 85% 20*
2.00–2.49 41% 72% 39*
2.50–3.49 this race 22% 62% 74
3.50–4.99 19% 54% 48*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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