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WARWICK FARM

R1 1:55 PM R2 2:30 PM R3 3:05 PM R4 3:40 PM R5 4:15 PM R6 4:50 PM R7 5:25 PM

Race 5

4:15 PM
1600m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st DECORUM ⭐ Best Bet
2nd LANCELOT DU LAC 💡 Saver
3rd TAZIMA (IRE)
4th AURA
✅ Best Bet won — DECORUM finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — LANCELOT DU LAC ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
5
DECORUM W $1.70
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
2
LANCELOT DU LAC P $1.12
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. DECORUM FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.70 $1.03 $2.45
2. LANCELOT DU LAC 6 $2.80 $1.12 $3.51
1. TAZIMA (IRE) 2 $8.00 $1.36 $8.19
11. AURA 7 $31.00 $3.30 $17.85
6. SIRIUS LEGEND 8 $34.00 $3.30 $20.82
3. CLYDE 5 $71.00 $4.60 $33.11
9. CAN'T RECALL ONE (NZ) 10 $71.00 $4.80 $36.20
10. UNCLE HARRY 3 $126.00 $5.75 $45.04
Favourite record at WARWICK FARM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 52% 76% 21*
2.50–3.49 32% 65% 31*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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