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PAKENHAM

R1 4:45 PM R2 5:15 PM R3 5:45 PM R4 6:15 PM R5 6:45 PM R6 7:15 PM R7 7:45 PM

Race 3

5:45 PM
1600m · 8 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Southside Racing Pakenham ›
🏁 Result
1st MR INDEPENDENT 📍 Place Pick
2nd BUTTERSCOTCH
3rd SHOTARO
4th SKYDREAM
✅ Place bet — won outright — MR INDEPENDENT finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
2
MR INDEPENDENT W $2.35·P $1.22
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. MR INDEPENDENT FAV TOP RATED 5 $2.35 $1.22 $3.55
6. BUTTERSCOTCH 6 $3.40 $1.28 $4.16
1. ARDASHIR (FR) 3 $7.00 $1.85 $8.76
9. SKYDREAM 4 $10.00 $2.30 $10.15
8. DETROIT DREAMING 2 $13.00 $2.60 $10.46
4. SHOTARO 7 $10.00 $2.25 $11.30
3. SAINT LOUIS BLUE (NZ) 1 $18.00 $3.20 $14.38
7. GIGANTOR 8 $201.00 $12.00 $88.67
Favourite record at PAKENHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.35) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 61% 78% 41*
2.00–2.49 this race 36% 72% 39*
2.50–3.49 39% 77% 75
3.50–4.99 11% 50% 36*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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