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PAKENHAM

R1 4:45 PM R2 5:15 PM R3 5:45 PM R4 6:15 PM R5 6:45 PM R6 7:15 PM R7 7:45 PM

Race 4

6:15 PM
1000m · 7 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Southside Racing Pakenham ›
🏁 Result
1st TRAPPER JOHN (NZ) ⭐ Best Bet
2nd VIASAIN
3rd VOLATILE
4th FULLY CALCULATED
✅ Best Bet won — TRAPPER JOHN (NZ) finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
6
TRAPPER JOHN (NZ) W $1.60
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
8
BARARI P $2.15
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. TRAPPER JOHN (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.60 $1.20 $2.44
5. LA ROUX 5 $7.50 $2.60 $7.11
8. BARARI 4 $5.50 $2.15 $7.21
2. VIASAIN 6 $9.00 $3.00 $8.69
1. NATION STATE 7 $14.00 $4.00 $11.90
7. FULLY CALCULATED 1 $20.00 $5.00 $14.32
3. VOLATILE 8 $41.00 $7.00 $24.08
Favourite record at PAKENHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.60) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 61% 78% 41*
2.00–2.49 36% 72% 39*
2.50–3.49 39% 77% 75
3.50–4.99 11% 50% 36*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.