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HAWKESBURY

R1 12:30 PM R2 1:05 PM R3 1:40 PM R4 2:15 PM R5 2:50 PM R6 3:30 PM R7 4:10 PM R8 4:50 PM

Race 4

2:15 PM
1500m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st KOKATAHI (NZ) ⭐ Best Bet
2nd FIERCE CRITIC
3rd IRON LEGEND
4th DERRY CITY FELIX
Best Bet won — KOKATAHI (NZ) finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
4
KOKATAHI (NZ) W $1.65
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
2
INDIGO STAR P $1.95
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. KOKATAHI (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 7 $1.65 $1.20 $2.32
2. INDIGO STAR 2 $5.00 $1.95 $5.77
9. FIERCE CRITIC 4 $11.00 $3.40 $9.14
1. DERRY CITY FELIX 8 $9.50 $3.00 $9.73
3. IRON LEGEND 1 $11.00 $3.30 $12.51
5. MEAN AS 3 $16.00 $4.20 $14.46
8. SHARE THE JOY 5 $71.00 $11.00 $29.15
Favourite record at HAWKESBURY

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 17% 60% 35*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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