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GRAFTON

R1 1:20 PM R2 1:55 PM R3 2:30 PM R4 3:05 PM R5 3:45 PM R6 4:25 PM

Race 2

1:55 PM

2220m · 10 runners

🏁 Result

1st REDADEL

2nd SONDER 💡 Saver

3rd PIERONIMO ⭐ Best Bet

4th ALASKA DE LUNE

〰️ Best Bet placed — PIERONIMO ran a place (win bet missed)

✅ Saver placed — SONDER ran a place

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

PIERONIMO W $1.40

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

SONDER P $2.05

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
2. PIERONIMO FAV TOP RATED	6	$1.40	$1.08	$2.13
5. SONDER	3	$8.50	$2.05	$8.83
8. LEGIN	1	$16.00	$3.00	$12.45
11. FLEE WITH ME	9	$17.00	$3.10	$12.50
10. TURPIN'S TORMENT	4	$19.00	$3.30	$13.71
6. ALASKA DE LUNE	5	$21.00	$3.50	$14.78
3. SHILLONG	8	$23.00	$3.50	$17.69
9. REDADEL	10	$61.00	$5.50	$34.21
1. GANGPLANK	2	$126.00	$7.50	$56.26
4. SIR ZINO (NZ)	11	$151.00	$9.00	$74.63

Favourite record at GRAFTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
1.50–1.99	60%	88%	25*
2.00–2.49	37%	83%	30*
2.50–3.49	27%	66%	41*
3.50–4.99	21%	45%	29*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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