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LAUNCESTON

R1 5:08 PM R2 5:38 PM R3 6:08 PM R4 6:38 PM R5 7:08 PM R6 7:38 PM R7 8:08 PM R8 8:43 PM

Race 4

6:38 PM
1400m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st THONATUS
2nd THE PIRATE QUEEN
3rd THEM'S THE BREAKS 📍 Place Pick
4th QUAFFTIDE
✅ Place bet landed — THEM'S THE BREAKS ran a place
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
6
THEM'S THE BREAKS P $1.50
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
2
SILVER GRANGE W $12.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. THEM'S THE BREAKS FAV TOP RATED 10 $3.60 $1.50 $5.22
5. MISS LYRA 9 $5.50 $2.00 $7.47
4. BELLSPROUT (NZ) 5 $6.00 $2.10 $7.71
9. THE PIRATE QUEEN 1 $5.50 $2.05 $7.74
8. LAST TREMBLE 3 $6.50 $2.25 $8.33
2. SILVER GRANGE 2 $12.00 $3.20 $13.92
10. QUAFFTIDE 7 $17.00 $4.00 $15.86
11. GIE IT LALDY 6 $21.00 $4.60 $18.29
3. NANDI CLAN 11 $19.00 $4.20 $18.75
7. THONATUS 4 $23.00 $4.80 $18.93
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.60) sits in the 3.50–4.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 27% 86% 22*
2.50–3.49 37% 66% 35*
3.50–4.99 this race 14% 57% 21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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