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GOLD COAST

R1 1:04 PM R2 1:39 PM R3 2:14 PM R4 2:49 PM R5 3:24 PM R6 4:04 PM R7 4:45 PM R8 5:24 PM

Race 4

2:49 PM
1800m · 10 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Magic Millions Gold Coast ›
🏁 Result
1st CAPITAL ASSET 📍 Place Pick
2nd KIPLING'S JOURNEY
3rd CAPE CRUSADER
4th MR O'REILLY 💡 Saver
✅ Place bet — won outright — CAPITAL ASSET finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
9
CAPITAL ASSET P $1.34
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
11
MR O'REILLY W $9.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
9. CAPITAL ASSET FAV TOP RATED 6 $2.90 $1.34 $4.34
1. LIVING FREE 1 $5.00 $1.80 $6.84
7. KIPLING'S JOURNEY 11 $6.50 $2.20 $8.17
11. MR O'REILLY 3 $9.50 $2.70 $9.42
3. WARP SPEED 9 $8.50 $2.45 $11.17
6. CAPE CRUSADER 5 $14.00 $3.50 $12.59
10. BENGAL BOY 7 $13.00 $3.40 $13.78
8. FAT FINGERS (NZ) 10 $21.00 $4.60 $17.33
4. ROGUE BEAR (IRE) 2 $14.00 $3.50 $17.51
2. HADOUKEN 8 $31.00 $5.50 $25.93
Favourite record at GOLD COAST ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.90) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 40% 85% 20*
2.00–2.49 43% 79% 28*
2.50–3.49 this race 47% 70% 74
3.50–4.99 4% 44% 25*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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