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ROSEHILL

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Race 5

1:50 PM
1400m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st LORD PENMAN (NZ) 📍 Place Pick
2nd PALMETTO (NZ)
3rd MAGNATEAR
4th WAR ETERNAL (NZ)
✅ Place bet — won outright — LORD PENMAN (NZ) finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
2
LORD PENMAN (NZ) W $2.45·P $1.26
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. LORD PENMAN (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 5 $2.45 $1.26 $3.79
3. MAGNATEAR 1 $3.50 $1.32 $4.40
6. THUNDERLIPS 8 $5.50 $1.65 $6.18
10. KIND WORDS 9 $11.00 $2.50 $9.25
1. PALMETTO (NZ) 3 $16.00 $3.30 $13.84
4. WAR ETERNAL (NZ) 10 $26.00 $4.20 $20.60
11. GRAVINA 4 $34.00 $5.00 $21.52
5. FLYING BANDIT 11 $41.00 $5.25 $23.85
7. AGE OF SAIL (GB) 7 $61.00 $6.50 $33.91
Favourite record at ROSEHILL ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.45) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 this race 45% 95% 20*
2.50–3.49 40% 71% 42*
3.50–4.99 5% 48% 21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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