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MOE

R1 12:35 PM R2 1:15 PM R3 1:50 PM R4 2:25 PM R5 3:00 PM R6 3:40 PM R7 4:20 PM

Race 1

12:35 PM
1600m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st DEVINE GRUNT
2nd SHREWDNESS (NZ)
3rd HOT SPIRIT (NZ)
4th SENSATIONAL RULER 💡 Saver
❌ Unplaced — VALLO didn't feature
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
10
VALLO P $1.30
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
6
SENSATIONAL RULER W $7.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
10. VALLO FAV TOP RATED 6 $2.70 $1.30 $4.03
11. FEARLESS MONARCH 11 $4.20 $1.45 $5.61
6. SENSATIONAL RULER 2 $7.00 $2.10 $7.94
13. EMPRESS JUPITER 4 $8.00 $2.30 $8.63
8. SHREWDNESS (NZ) 8 $7.50 $2.20 $9.53
14. HOT SPIRIT (NZ) 7 $17.00 $3.70 $14.50
4. LUCKY CHANCE 10 $21.00 $4.00 $15.59
1. ALWAYS SHINING (NZ) 5 $23.00 $4.20 $21.65
3. DEVINE GRUNT 14 $41.00 $5.50 $27.77
12. MARISTELA (NZ) 3 $201.00 $19.00 $85.06
Favourite record at MOE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.70) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 this race 45% 75% 20*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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