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KEMBLA GRANGE

R1 12:50 PM R2 1:25 PM R3 2:05 PM R4 2:40 PM R5 3:20 PM R6 3:55 PM R7 4:30 PM

Race 1

12:50 PM
1500m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st EL QASABI 📍 Place Pick
2nd NEFERUSOBEK
3rd SHE'S A DAME
4th ALABAMA CHARM
✅ Place bet — won outright — EL QASABI finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
2
EL QASABI W $2.10·P $1.20
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. EL QASABI FAV TOP RATED 2 $2.10 $1.20 $3.33
8. ALABAMA CHARM 4 $5.50 $1.60 $6.35
5. SHE'S A DAME 6 $6.00 $1.65 $7.06
4. THE IRON STAR 9 $7.50 $2.00 $8.72
10. TULOU 3 $8.50 $2.15 $9.21
7. NEFERUSOBEK 7 $15.00 $3.10 $12.53
3. ROLLING SURF (NZ) 10 $21.00 $3.50 $15.70
6. ACTION NOT WORDS (NZ) 5 $61.00 $5.75 $29.74
Favourite record at KEMBLA GRANGE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.10) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 57% 70% 23*
2.00–2.49 this race 48% 86% 21*
2.50–3.49 33% 58% 40*
3.50–4.99 39% 61% 23*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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