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KEMBLA GRANGE

R1 12:50 PM R2 1:25 PM R3 2:05 PM R4 2:40 PM R5 3:20 PM R6 3:55 PM R7 4:30 PM

Race 6

3:55 PM
1300m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st ALIGNED
2nd DUKE OF CAMDEN
3rd CHILLY CHARLIE
4th LONE ARTIST
❌ Unplaced — PELOSA didn't feature
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
6
PELOSA P $1.38
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
7
PERLE DE CHOCOLAT W $7.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
2
C'MON MATE W $14.00
Form view · saver 8.5% above market on form
Form model rates this runner above its market price. Track+distance: 75% (4 starts) · Recent form: 8051
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. PELOSA FAV TOP RATED 6 $3.00 $1.38 $4.87
1. ALIGNED 3 $3.60 $1.50 $5.43
7. PERLE DE CHOCOLAT 7 $7.00 $2.30 $8.55
4. LONE ARTIST 11 $9.00 $2.60 $9.44
3. DUKE OF CAMDEN 1 $11.00 $3.10 $11.57
12. CHILLY CHARLIE 2 $14.00 $3.60 $12.43
2. C'MON MATE 12 $14.00 $3.60 $14.68
5. TOES IN THE WATER 9 $23.00 $4.80 $22.88
10. SWEET TREATS 8 $41.00 $6.00 $26.02
13. TWIN TURBO 4 $41.00 $6.00 $28.32
8. MISS HVAR (NZ) 5 $34.00 $5.75 $28.58
Favourite record at KEMBLA GRANGE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.00) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 57% 70% 23*
2.00–2.49 48% 86% 21*
2.50–3.49 this race 33% 58% 40*
3.50–4.99 39% 61% 23*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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