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ROSEHILL

R1 1:20 PM R2 1:55 PM R3 2:30 PM R4 3:05 PM R5 3:40 PM R6 4:15 PM R7 4:50 PM

Race 4

3:05 PM
2400m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st STYLEBENDER (NZ)
2nd CENTENARIO (NZ) 📍 Place Pick
3rd SUBARCTIC
4th LUNAR LOVER (GB)
✅ Place bet landed — CENTENARIO (NZ) ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
2
CENTENARIO (NZ) W $2.40·P $1.32
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. CENTENARIO (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.40 $1.32 $3.38
5. LUNAR LOVER (GB) 3 $2.90 $1.40 $3.87
3. STYLEBENDER (NZ) 2 $5.00 $2.20 $5.30
7. SUBARCTIC 8 $14.00 $4.60 $11.44
6. OAKFIELD HAWK 4 $14.00 $4.60 $12.35
1. HUTCHENCE (GB) 7 $19.00 $5.25 $18.09
8. PELEVECCHIO 5 $61.00 $15.00 $30.09
Favourite record at ROSEHILL ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.40) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 this race 45% 95% 20*
2.50–3.49 40% 71% 42*
3.50–4.99 5% 48% 21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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