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PAKENHAM

R1 4:45 PM R2 5:15 PM R3 5:45 PM R4 6:15 PM R5 6:45 PM R6 7:15 PM R7 7:45 PM R8 8:15 PM

Race 1

4:45 PM
2500m · 5 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Southside Racing Pakenham ›
🏁 Result
1st RAPIDO RIVER
2nd PHOENICIAN 💡 Saver
3rd SOUL MISTRESS
4th ASHINA (NZ) 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — ASHINA (NZ) didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — PHOENICIAN ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
6
ASHINA (NZ) P $1.30
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
1
PHOENICIAN W $8.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. ASHINA (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 4 $2.50 $1.30 $3.13
5. SOUL MISTRESS 2 $2.70 $1.34 $3.36
1. PHOENICIAN 3 $8.50 $3.00 $7.73
3. RAPIDO RIVER 6 $7.50 $2.60 $7.83
4. SHOWFAIR (NZ) 5 $7.50 $2.70 $7.95
Favourite record at PAKENHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.50) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 61% 78% 41*
2.00–2.49 36% 72% 39*
2.50–3.49 this race 39% 77% 75
3.50–4.99 11% 50% 36*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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