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PAKENHAM

R1 4:45 PM R2 5:15 PM R3 5:45 PM R4 6:15 PM R5 6:45 PM R6 7:15 PM R7 7:45 PM R8 8:15 PM

Race 5

6:45 PM
1000m · 9 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Southside Racing Pakenham ›
🏁 Result
1st TIZ WORTHY 📍 Place Pick
2nd LAKE GILLEAR
3rd COMMANDS SUCCESS
4th YAMASHITA'S GOLD
✅ Place bet — won outright — TIZ WORTHY finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
7
TIZ WORTHY W $2.25·P $1.24
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
3
RUBY AVENUE W $9.50
Form view · saver 8.8% above market on form
Form model rates this runner above its market price. Track+distance: 66.7% (3 starts) · Recent form: 5716
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
7. TIZ WORTHY FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.25 $1.24 $3.51
5. YAMASHITA'S GOLD 3 $4.00 $1.34 $5.51
1. COMMANDS SUCCESS 10 $8.00 $2.10 $7.69
9. STEAMY MIST 8 $11.00 $2.50 $10.10
3. RUBY AVENUE 9 $9.50 $2.25 $10.13
8. PARTY BENEFITS 4 $12.00 $2.70 $10.91
4. SYMPHONY OF COLOUR 6 $16.00 $3.20 $13.88
6. LAKE GILLEAR 2 $41.00 $5.50 $33.05
10. PARADISE ISLAND 7 $201.00 $16.00 $83.42
Favourite record at PAKENHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.25) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 61% 78% 41*
2.00–2.49 this race 36% 72% 39*
2.50–3.49 39% 77% 75
3.50–4.99 11% 50% 36*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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