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TOWNSVILLE

R1 11:45 AM R2 12:21 PM R3 12:56 PM R4 1:31 PM R5 2:06 PM R6 2:43 PM R7 3:23 PM R8 4:03 PM R9 4:43 PM R10 5:40 PM

Race 1

11:45 AM
1200m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st MARCH MADNESS 📍 Place Pick
2nd SHE'S GOT LYRICS
3rd COVENTRY LANE
4th SHADYVALE AL
✅ Place bet — won outright — MARCH MADNESS finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
9
MARCH MADNESS W $2.05·P $1.24
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
9. MARCH MADNESS FAV TOP RATED 9 $2.05 $1.24 $3.08
6. SHE'S GOT LYRICS 8 $5.00 $1.60 $6.56
8. LADY DE VEGA 6 $7.50 $2.20 $8.07
10. VOLARE 5 $9.50 $2.40 $10.36
4. I SWIM I WIN (NZ) 3 $13.00 $3.00 $12.32
2. TYRANNICAL (NZ) 10 $18.00 $3.60 $16.92
3. PARPPY 'N' ME 4 $23.00 $4.00 $19.67
1. COVENTRY LANE 2 $23.00 $4.00 $21.33
5. SHADYVALE AL 7 $31.00 $4.80 $25.57
7. CALAMARIS (NZ) 1 $51.00 $5.75 $39.87
Favourite record at TOWNSVILLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.05) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 48% 84% 25*
2.00–2.49 this race 52% 68% 25*
2.50–3.49 27% 65% 55*
3.50–4.99 22% 43% 23*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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