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CRANBOURNE

R1 5:15 PM R2 5:45 PM R3 6:15 PM R4 6:45 PM R5 7:15 PM R6 7:45 PM R7 8:15 PM R8 8:45 PM

Race 1

5:15 PM
1200m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st JUVENAL
2nd CARRIEDO 💡 Saver
3rd SILVER LIGHTNING
4th SALARAE
❌ Unplaced — BALANCE didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — CARRIEDO ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
7
BALANCE W $1.50
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
8
CARRIEDO P $1.55
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
7. BALANCE FAV TOP RATED 7 $1.50 $1.06 $2.09
8. CARRIEDO 2 $7.00 $1.55 $6.64
4. JUVENAL 3 $9.00 $1.80 $8.52
6. SALARAE 5 $9.00 $1.85 $10.49
5. SEE SEE MAGIC 11 $18.00 $2.70 $15.92
9. LOVE ME TOMORROW 9 $23.00 $3.30 $21.33
1. ON MY OWN 6 $126.00 $6.50 $52.51
3. SILVER LIGHTNING 4 $91.00 $5.75 $63.65
10. SHEEZE OMINOUS 1 $151.00 $8.00 $67.08
Favourite record at CRANBOURNE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.50) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 52% 86% 29*
2.00–2.49 26% 71% 31*
2.50–3.49 43% 72% 47*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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