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CRANBOURNE

R1 5:15 PM R2 5:45 PM R3 6:15 PM R4 6:45 PM R5 7:15 PM R6 7:45 PM R7 8:15 PM R8 8:45 PM

Race 4

6:45 PM
1200m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st ARLINGTON ROW
2nd HOTSPUR REALE
3rd LYRICS 'N' SONG 💡 Saver
4th AMPING LASS
❌ Unplaced — FLY BY LIGHT didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — LYRICS 'N' SONG ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
2
FLY BY LIGHT P $1.38
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
3
LYRICS 'N' SONG W $6.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. FLY BY LIGHT FAV TOP RATED 2 $2.60 $1.38 $3.82
1. TOWER BRIDGE 3 $4.40 $2.10 $5.14
3. LYRICS 'N' SONG 4 $6.00 $2.45 $6.60
7. ARLINGTON ROW 1 $7.50 $3.20 $6.87
4. SEA TRADER 7 $10.00 $3.30 $10.19
6. AMPING LASS 5 $12.00 $4.40 $12.83
5. HOTSPUR REALE 8 $20.00 $5.50 $14.18
Favourite record at CRANBOURNE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.60) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 52% 86% 29*
2.00–2.49 26% 71% 31*
2.50–3.49 this race 43% 72% 47*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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