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NEWCASTLE

R1 12:51 PM R2 1:27 PM R3 2:01 PM R4 2:36 PM R5 3:14 PM R6 3:51 PM R7 4:30 PM

Race 1

12:51 PM
900m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st POTOMAC RIVER
2nd BARRACKS 📍 Place Pick
3rd SPRIGHTLY AFFAIR 💡 Saver
4th POMELO CHAMOMILE
✅ Place bet landed — BARRACKS ran a place
✅ Saver placed — SPRIGHTLY AFFAIR ran a place
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
1
BARRACKS P $1.28
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
8
SPRIGHTLY AFFAIR W $6.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. BARRACKS FAV TOP RATED 3 $3.00 $1.28 $4.08
6. POMELO CHAMOMILE 6 $3.10 $1.28 $4.14
7. POTOMAC RIVER 2 $4.80 $1.45 $6.23
8. SPRIGHTLY AFFAIR 5 $6.50 $1.85 $7.02
2. SCRAP 4 $10.00 $2.30 $10.10
4. HELLDEEVA 8 $12.00 $2.50 $11.85
3. BIRIPI PERFECTION 9 $201.00 $13.00 $68.75
5. MONTANA TRAIL 7 $151.00 $11.00 $79.92
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.00) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 56% 84% 25*
2.00–2.49 39% 84% 38*
2.50–3.49 this race 39% 64% 44*
3.50–4.99 30% 57% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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