‹ All races

NEWCASTLE

R1 12:51 PM R2 1:27 PM R3 2:01 PM R4 2:36 PM R5 3:14 PM R6 3:51 PM R7 4:30 PM

Race 3

2:01 PM

1600m · 7 runners

🏁 Result

1st EMERALD HILLS (NZ) 💡 Saver

2nd MOORDYUP

3rd POUR BENN (NZ) ⭐ Best Bet

4th THE CONFIDANTE

〰️ Best Bet placed — POUR BENN (NZ) ran a place (win bet missed)

✅ Saver won — EMERALD HILLS (NZ) finished 1st

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

POUR BENN (NZ) W $1.80

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

EMERALD HILLS (NZ) P $1.85

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
3. POUR BENN (NZ) FAV TOP RATED	3	$1.80	$1.26	$2.69
2. EMERALD HILLS (NZ)	1	$4.20	$1.85	$5.04
8. MOORDYUP	7	$6.00	$2.35	$6.40
1. THE CONFIDANTE	9	$7.50	$2.70	$9.87
7. IVY PRINCESS	6	$16.00	$4.60	$11.41
4. VALIANT DREAMER	4	$21.00	$5.00	$15.44
9. TORPEDO TED	8	$101.00	$19.00	$50.58

Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.80) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
1.50–1.99 this race	56%	84%	25*
2.00–2.49	39%	84%	38*
2.50–3.49	39%	64%	44*
3.50–4.99	30%	57%	30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.