โ€น All races

NEWCASTLE

R1 12:51 PM R2 1:27 PM R3 2:01 PM R4 2:36 PM R5 3:14 PM R6 3:51 PM R7 4:30 PM

Race 5

3:14 PM
900m ยท 9 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st SHALL BE โญ Best Bet
2nd MR TRACKSIDE
3rd CAPITAL DANCER
4th ANGARA
โœ… Best Bet won โ€” SHALL BE finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
SHALL BE W $2.00
win โญ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite โ€” market and model in agreement.
2
CASHAWAY GOLD P $1.36
Saver ยท place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. SHALL BE FAV TOP RATED 4 $2.00 $1.18 $3.53
2. CASHAWAY GOLD 11 $4.20 $1.36 $5.44
6. SINGING STAR 5 $6.50 $1.80 $6.75
8. CAPITAL DANCER 1 $7.00 $1.95 $7.56
7. PEARLS TREASURE 9 $21.00 $3.70 $14.73
11. MR TRACKSIDE 3 $18.00 $3.40 $14.96
5. GIRLS WEEKEND 10 $31.00 $4.40 $19.92
3. ANGARA 8 $34.00 $4.60 $23.57
9. MOVIN' DENMAN 6 $91.00 $7.00 $39.34
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.00) sits in the 2.00โ€“2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50โ€“1.99 56% 84% 25*
2.00โ€“2.49 this race 39% 84% 38*
2.50โ€“3.49 39% 64% 44*
3.50โ€“4.99 30% 57% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.