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NEWCASTLE

R1 12:51 PM R2 1:27 PM R3 2:01 PM R4 2:36 PM R5 3:14 PM R6 3:51 PM R7 4:30 PM

Race 7

4:30 PM
1400m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st BUFFALO 📍 Place Pick
2nd OAKFIELD JUPITER 💡 Saver
3rd LORD OF BISCAY (IRE)
4th BELLA KHADIJAH
✅ Place bet — won outright — BUFFALO finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — OAKFIELD JUPITER ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
4
BUFFALO P $1.36
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
12
OAKFIELD JUPITER W $8.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. BUFFALO FAV TOP RATED 3 $2.90 $1.36 $4.53
1. LORD OF BISCAY (IRE) 13 $4.40 $1.65 $6.71
11. WOOLOOWIN 7 $6.50 $2.20 $8.00
12. OAKFIELD JUPITER 5 $8.00 $2.40 $8.49
2. MIDNIGHT OPAL 4 $8.00 $2.35 $9.15
5. TASORAAY 14 $10.00 $2.80 $11.48
14. BELLA KHADIJAH 2 $18.00 $4.00 $15.22
9. ORTHIE'S BOYS 8 $41.00 $6.00 $24.16
7. CALTSAR 6 $51.00 $7.00 $30.25
3. CRYPTONIC 1 $51.00 $6.50 $33.32
10. WIZARDS 10 $91.00 $10.00 $48.13
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.90) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 56% 84% 25*
2.00–2.49 39% 84% 38*
2.50–3.49 this race 39% 64% 44*
3.50–4.99 30% 57% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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