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KEMBLA GRANGE

R1 12:50 PM R2 1:25 PM R3 2:05 PM R4 2:40 PM R5 3:20 PM R6 3:55 PM R7 4:30 PM

Race 7

4:30 PM
1400m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st MOSGOLD
2nd GRACEFUL ELLEN
3rd GOOLOO BUCKY
4th BLOW IN
❌ Unplaced — WILD THOUGHTS didn't feature
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
5
WILD THOUGHTS W $1.80
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
6
AUDENZIA P $1.75
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. WILD THOUGHTS FAV TOP RATED 7 $1.80 $1.26 $2.79
6. AUDENZIA 10 $3.90 $1.75 $5.18
7. GRACEFUL ELLEN 1 $6.00 $2.35 $6.03
10. BLOW IN 6 $13.00 $4.20 $11.67
4. GOOLOO BUCKY 2 $21.00 $5.25 $13.87
2. DUMEBI 4 $18.00 $4.80 $15.18
8. MOSGOLD 9 $26.00 $5.75 $17.14
Favourite record at KEMBLA GRANGE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.80) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 57% 70% 23*
2.00–2.49 48% 86% 21*
2.50–3.49 33% 58% 40*
3.50–4.99 39% 61% 23*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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