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CAULFIELD HEATH

R1 2:05 PM R2 2:40 PM R3 3:15 PM R4 3:50 PM R5 4:25 PM R6 5:00 PM R7 5:30 PM R8 6:00 PM

Race 1

2:05 PM
1000m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st ABSOLUTE POWER
2nd INVINCIBLE LOVER
3rd SMOKE SCREEN 📍 Place Pick
4th SPIRIT OF GAIA
✅ Place bet landed — SMOKE SCREEN ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
8
SMOKE SCREEN W $2.20·P $1.30
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
8. SMOKE SCREEN FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.20 $1.30 $3.19
7. INVINCIBLE LOVER 3 $4.40 $2.10 $4.87
9. STERNIN 4 $8.00 $3.20 $7.60
3. CALIFORNIA FLYER 2 $8.00 $3.10 $8.68
5. EXIT STRATEGY 5 $7.00 $2.70 $8.76
4. SPIRIT OF GAIA 6 $15.00 $4.40 $11.77
1. ABSOLUTE POWER 7 $41.00 $7.50 $28.38
Favourite record at CAULFIELD HEATH ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 26% 70% 23*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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