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CAULFIELD HEATH

R1 2:05 PM R2 2:40 PM R3 3:15 PM R4 3:50 PM R5 4:25 PM R6 5:00 PM R7 5:30 PM R8 6:00 PM

Race 2

2:40 PM
1800m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st MR INDEPENDENT 📍 Place Pick
2nd PRAY DAY
3rd BEST TIME
4th JUST JENNI
✅ Place bet — won outright — MR INDEPENDENT finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
3
MR INDEPENDENT P $1.38
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
4
PHOEBE BUFFAY (NZ) W $4.60
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. MR INDEPENDENT FAV TOP RATED 6 $2.75 $1.38 $3.81
5. JUST JENNI 1 $3.50 $1.65 $4.18
4. PHOEBE BUFFAY (NZ) 5 $4.60 $2.10 $5.00
6. PRAY DAY 2 $4.60 $2.10 $5.14
2. SUPER SOLAR 3 $31.00 $6.00 $19.17
1. BEST TIME 4 $34.00 $6.50 $19.43
Favourite record at CAULFIELD HEATH ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.75) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 this race 26% 70% 23*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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