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LAUNCESTON

R1 4:29 PM R2 5:04 PM R3 5:34 PM R4 6:10 PM R5 6:40 PM R6 7:20 PM R7 8:00 PM R8 8:30 PM

Race 6

7:20 PM
2150m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st TIDEFORD (NZ)
2nd MERLIN BEACH (NZ)
3rd WOLF JUNIOR ⭐ Best Bet
4th SIR JAG
〰️ Best Bet placed — WOLF JUNIOR ran a place (win bet missed)
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
4
WOLF JUNIOR W $2.00
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
11
BRIGHT NIGHT P $2.10
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. WOLF JUNIOR FAV TOP RATED 12 $2.00 $1.24 $3.63
8. MERLIN BEACH (NZ) 15 $8.00 $2.25 $8.73
11. BRIGHT NIGHT 9 $6.50 $2.10 $9.31
5. CARNOTAURUS 13 $9.50 $2.45 $9.69
9. SOUTH GEORGIA 5 $9.50 $2.45 $9.78
10. WHOLESOME (NZ) 4 $17.00 $3.60 $14.57
6. CORSA VELOCE 7 $16.00 $3.50 $14.91
3. TIDEFORD (NZ) 1 $19.00 $3.80 $14.94
1. ALPINE HONEY 6 $23.00 $4.20 $19.84
2. SIR JAG 11 $31.00 $5.00 $22.67
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.00) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 this race 27% 86% 22*
2.50–3.49 37% 66% 35*
3.50–4.99 14% 57% 21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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