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PAKENHAM

R1 5:15 PM R2 5:45 PM R3 6:15 PM R4 6:45 PM R5 7:15 PM R6 7:45 PM R7 8:15 PM R8 8:45 PM

Race 4

6:45 PM
1400m · 7 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Southside Racing Pakenham ›
🏁 Result
1st CAFE AU LAIT 💡 Saver
2nd LIGHT MOVES
3rd OBVIOUS
4th VICTORY TUNE
❌ Unplaced — REDWOOD LANE (NZ) didn't feature
✅ Saver won — CAFE AU LAIT finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
6
REDWOOD LANE (NZ) W $1.90
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
10
CAFE AU LAIT P $2.30
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. REDWOOD LANE (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 3 $1.90 $1.28 $2.81
10. CAFE AU LAIT 4 $5.50 $2.30 $5.99
4. LIGHT MOVES 1 $8.00 $3.00 $7.81
1. OBVIOUS 9 $8.50 $3.10 $8.42
5. MAHERS LANDING (NZ) 8 $9.00 $3.20 $10.53
2. VICTORY TUNE 10 $15.00 $4.40 $13.41
3. CHILLIES 5 $23.00 $5.50 $16.53
Favourite record at PAKENHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.90) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 61% 78% 41*
2.00–2.49 36% 72% 39*
2.50–3.49 39% 77% 75
3.50–4.99 11% 50% 36*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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