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NEWCASTLE

R1 12:15 PM R2 12:50 PM R3 1:25 PM R4 2:05 PM R5 2:40 PM R6 3:20 PM R7 3:55 PM R8 4:35 PM

Race 3

1:25 PM
1400m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st MISTER MARTINI 📍 Place Pick
2nd LILAC GIRL
3rd THE BIG BLUE (NZ)
4th MAGIC FLAMES
✅ Place bet — won outright — MISTER MARTINI finished 1st
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
3
MISTER MARTINI P $1.34
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
2
FEAZABEEL W $8.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. MISTER MARTINI FAV TOP RATED 1 $3.00 $1.34 $4.27
7. PEACE AT LAST 13 $5.50 $1.95 $7.54
1. THE BIG BLUE (NZ) 10 $5.50 $1.90 $7.83
4. NO WOMAN NO CRY 12 $7.50 $2.30 $9.51
2. FEAZABEEL 6 $8.00 $2.30 $9.53
11. LILAC GIRL 3 $9.50 $2.60 $9.74
6. SUN TO ME 5 $11.00 $3.00 $10.42
8. MAGIC FLAMES 8 $21.00 $4.40 $20.12
9. QUADRIA 9 $61.00 $7.50 $31.50
12. LITE SIDE 7 $151.00 $15.00 $65.42
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.00) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 56% 84% 25*
2.00–2.49 39% 84% 38*
2.50–3.49 this race 39% 64% 44*
3.50–4.99 30% 57% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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