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NEWCASTLE

R1 12:15 PM R2 12:50 PM R3 1:25 PM R4 2:05 PM R5 2:40 PM R6 3:20 PM R7 3:55 PM R8 4:35 PM

Race 5

2:40 PM
2300m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st LUGARNO
2nd SOUTHERLY BUSTER (NZ) 💡 Saver
3rd GOLDEN SMILE (GB)
4th RITA'S PEARL
❌ Unplaced — MEDIARO didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — SOUTHERLY BUSTER (NZ) ran a place
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
5
MEDIARO P $1.60
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
7
SOUTHERLY BUSTER (NZ) W $7.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. MEDIARO FAV TOP RATED 7 $4.20 $1.60 $6.25
4. LUGARNO 9 $4.20 $1.60 $6.27
6. GOLDEN SMILE (GB) 4 $6.00 $2.10 $7.33
7. SOUTHERLY BUSTER (NZ) 8 $7.50 $2.30 $8.60
8. WINNING POINT 5 $9.00 $2.50 $9.44
9. RITA'S PEARL 10 $9.00 $2.50 $10.50
1. TAINUI 1 $11.00 $2.90 $10.83
3. MONTY BE QUICK (IRE) 3 $15.00 $3.60 $13.48
10. SO YOU READY 6 $21.00 $4.60 $16.64
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($4.20) sits in the 3.50–4.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 56% 84% 25*
2.00–2.49 39% 84% 38*
2.50–3.49 39% 64% 44*
3.50–4.99 this race 30% 57% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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