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DUBBO

R1 12:35 PM R2 1:10 PM R3 1:45 PM R4 2:25 PM R5 3:05 PM R6 3:40 PM R7 4:15 PM R8 4:55 PM

Race 3

1:45 PM
1600m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st JUST ON FIRE 💡 Saver
2nd PAPPIANA
3rd DARK THINKER
4th YORKEL (NZ)
❌ Unplaced — SAINT PHILOMENA didn't feature
✅ Saver won — JUST ON FIRE finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
6
SAINT PHILOMENA P $1.32
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
5
JUST ON FIRE W $5.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. SAINT PHILOMENA FAV TOP RATED 3 $2.90 $1.32 $4.24
5. JUST ON FIRE 1 $5.00 $1.75 $5.69
1. YORKEL (NZ) 9 $3.90 $1.45 $5.99
9. BILL PEYTO (IRE) 4 $10.00 $2.70 $10.43
4. PROCLIVITY 12 $9.50 $2.50 $10.46
3. PAPPIANA 10 $10.00 $2.60 $10.99
8. DARK THINKER 7 $19.00 $4.00 $15.57
11. JOSHUA 8 $41.00 $6.00 $30.15
12. BEG ME 11 $81.00 $8.50 $43.17
10. JETPACK VERDI (NZ) 5 $101.00 $10.00 $53.82
Favourite record at DUBBO ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.90) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 this race 38% 62% 29*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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